OTB’s Thursday ACC Pick’Em

November 5th, 2009 no comment
The Tigers looking to avoid this Saturday night.

The Tigers are looking to avoid this Saturday night.

Welcome to the Thursday ACC Pick’Em! I’ve got picks with/without spreads and with/without real insight.

ACC Pick’em

So far our picks by team have gone like…

Team                                          Record Picking Them

On It

Georgia Tech                             8-1

North Carolina                          6-2

Boston College                        7-2

Clemson                                    6-2

NC State                                    6-2

Wake Forest                                6-3

Sorta There

Virginia Tech                             5-3

Miami                                             5-3

Duke                                              5-3

Florida State                                5-3

50%

Maryland                                       4-4

Virginia                                         4-4

And here’s the picks…

  • 11/05/09  Virginia Tech Hokies @ East Carolina Pirates / 4LN / 7:30 p.m. ET

The Lead: The Hokies walk into a dangerous game in Greenville NC coming off two straight losses.

Watch 4: A Hokies’ Team to Struggle to Victory

Count me among those who do not get why the spread is so large in VT’s favor, but I think they find a way to pull it out.

Pick: Hokies 24 Pirates 20

  • 11/07/09 Virginia Cavaliers @ Miami Hurricanes / Raycom / 12:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: Miami returns to the site of their undoing in the Coastal with some disgruntled ‘Hoos on the way.

Watch 4: Miami to Control Game on Ground

Miami has developed a budding star in Damien Berry at RB and the other guys aren’t too shabby either.

Pick: Canes 31 ‘Hoos 17

  • Maryland Terrapins @ NC State Wolfpack / 4LN360.com / 1:30 p.m. ET

The Lead: The Wolfpack had a good showing offensively on the road in Tallahassee last week and return home to decide who indeed sucks the most in the Atlantic.

Watch 4: Pack Offense to Overpower Terps

If there’s only one thing they can do(which is true), NC State can play offense while Maryland is on/off in that area. The best offensive performance wins here and it should be the Wolfpack.

Pick: Pack 34 Terps 24

  • Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets / ABC-4LN2-Gameplan / 3:30 p.m. ET

The Lead: Georgia Tech try to keep up their momentum while the Deacs are looking to play spoiler on the road in the ATL.

Watch 4: The Jackets to Roll

This is a case of an overmatched opponent right here as a less octane version of this team already beat the Deacs without even throwing a pass–the Jackets have Thomas too–not good Deacs, not good.

Pick: Jackets 42 Deacs 20

  • Duke Blue Devils @ North Carolina Tar Heels / 4LNU / 3:30 p.m. ET

The Lead: Duke-UNC is one of the best ACC matchups of the day–no joke, seriously, yeah, it’s true, Duke can get one win away from a bowl while UNC can do the same.

Watch 4: For History to Catch Up with the Blue Devils

I want to pick Duke here, but the Blue Devils winning back-to-back-to-back ACC games is almost unconscionable–UNC does just enough.

Pick: Heels 24 Devils 21

  • Florida State Seminoles @ Clemson Tigers /4LN / 7:45 ET

The Lead: C.J. Spiller. FSU Defense. Fireworks-a-plenty.

Watch 4: Clemson Passing Game to Keep FSU Off-Balance

It wasn’t the rushing game, believe-or-not even with Spiller, that won the Miami game–it was Kyle Parker making good throws and moving the chains. If Parker is patient, Clemson will pick apart the ‘Noles.

Watch  4 Pt. 2: C.J. Spiller with the hype

Clemson has not performed well at all with all the hype before and all the talk locally is about the Heisman race–if Spiller is not focused(which I cannot believe he could not be after all he has gone through in 4 years in Clemson)–the Tigers could struggle but probably still win.

Pick: Tigers 34 ‘Noles 24

ATS Section

ATS Record: 31-23

Hey, we’re above .500 so here we go…

  • East Carolina and under 13 vs. VT

Take to Bank %: 71%

East Carolina, at home, on a Thursday, spells possibly straight up upset–atleast within 13.

  • NC State and over 6.5 vs. Maryland

Take to Bank %: 75%

NC State is the much-little-bit-better-team.

  • GT and over 15 vs. Wake Forest

Take to Bank %: 75%

GT offense is en fuego while Wake sucks.

  • Duke and under 10 vs. North Carolina

Take to Bank %: 70%

I’m confident this week and especially in Duke keeping it within ten–UNC does not have the offense to pull away.

  • Miami and over 14 vs. Virginia

Take to Bank %: 65%

Virginia could keep it close, but as I write this I’m watching J12 live and therefore I’m picking the Canes.

  • Clemson and over 8.5 vs. FSU

Take to Bank %: 55%

I tend to think it more a double digit when than I don’t, but who knows–Clemson has little track record of putting 4 straight great games together–FSU doesn’t either.

There’s the picks…thanks for reading and offer your thoughts below.



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